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The signals and the noise: Three-minute macro
With such a strong job market, how can a recession possibly be in the works? Our answer lies in some troubling leading indicators for growth. At the same time, we think oil’s importance in inflation means some reprieve for the Consumer Price Index in the future. Finally, we note that central banks’ bias toward rate hikes may mean more cuts down the road.
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Bank failures—unexpected events make investment decisions difficult
Events like the U.S. and European bank failures raise a key question. What should investors do during volatile times like these? Looking back at the last few years might give us an idea about how to discuss this with investors who may be uneasy or fearful.
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4 reasons GP-led secondaries are here to stay
Were GP-led secondaries a function of a buoyant economy and abnormally low interest rates or do they represent a true private market innovation that will survive the downturn and continue to play a role in the future?
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GP-led secondaries and continuation vehicles: myths and realities
Continuation vehicles—instruments for implementing GP-led secondaries—remain a misunderstood market innovation, and we address some of the most prevailing myths.
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Is the Fed as dovish as the market thinks it is?
Concerns about the strength of the global financial system have led to a significant shift in market expectations of when the U.S. Federal Reserve might start lowering interest rates. Has the market been too optimistic?
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The bar to stop hiking is probably lower than the bar to cut rates
Concerns about financial stability may not have stopped the Fed from raising rates; however, there's a growing sense that we're now closer to—if not already at—the end of the U.S. rate-hike cycle.
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Budget 2023: health care, clean energy…and deficits
The Canadian federal government released its 2023 budget, outlining the policy priorities for the next year onward. See how the Canadian federal government is addressing key issues in a challenging economic context.
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Federal Budget 2023—no big changes but maximum minimums!
A summary of the 2023 federal government’s budget highlighting the changes delivered by the Liberal government on March 28, 2023. Review our analysis of the key corporate and personal measures and how they impact you.
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Regional bank failures create potential risks and opportunities for investors
The failure of several banking entities in just a few days has spurred extraordinary measures from U.S. regulators, but investors remain skittish. Read more on how these events shape our outlook for the banking industry.
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Assessing the contagion risk from ongoing banking concerns to Asia
Trouble in the banking sector on both sides of the Atlantic has sparked fears of broader contagion. To what extent will these developments affect Asia's economies? Read more.
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