Viewpoints about United States
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The tailwinds of change: Three-minute macro
Inflation is showing signs of moderating, and if history is any indication, that could be a tailwind for equities. We’ve also got eyes on the timeline for a reopening in China, and on Americans’ excess savings, which aren’t excess for everyone.
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What does a strong dollar mean for global growth?
As the world's dominant reserve currency, movements in the U.S. dollar can have important implications for the world economy. Our experts identify three channels through which dollar strength can shape growth. Learn more.
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U.S. banks’ fundamentals continue to strengthen despite the economic slowdown
The latest quarterly earnings reports from U.S. regional banks confirm the favorable investment outlook as loan growth and an improved interest-rate environment provide a tailwind for the industry.
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The Fed remains hawkish, but easing could occur in 2023
The U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to hike rates by 0.75% shouldn't surprise anyone—it was widely expected; however, the bank's latest economic projections caught markets off guard. Read more.
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Will the Fed's approach to interest-rate hikes trigger a U.S. recession?
Concerns about recession risks are rising amid seemingly persistent inflation and rising interest rates. Find out to what extent these fears are warranted.
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U.S. inflation outlook—10 things to monitor
As concerns about U.S. inflation grows, investors are scrutinizing economic data for clues on what could happen next. We highlight 10 factors to monitor.
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Three-minute macro: what’s driving earnings?
The drivers of equity market performance so far this year look very different than last. We’re also mindful of a potential cooling in the housing market, while we expect major financial institutions to keep track of inequality issues going forward.
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Biden’s new administration bodes well for U.S. agriculture
As the Biden administration takes the reins in Washington, the agricultural sector is showing renewed momentum. Learn more.
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ESG portfolio resilience to social dislocations
Are sustainable approaches better equipped to handle systemic social risks? We discuss the material social factors we've observed during the pandemic and how sustainable strategies have attracted attention for their risk management and performance.
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Should the Fed engage in yield curve control?
Expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve might soon implement yield curve control are rising. Is it the appropriate policy response at this juncture?
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